Case Study · April 2026

INTC $64 Call. Peak +1,360%.

Sub-dollar premium, 7 days to expiration, multi-source confirmation stacked. The scan flagged Intel on April 10 morning. By expiry week it had printed the best return-per-dollar trade of the month.

Signal date: 2026-04-10 Ticker: INTC Strike / Exp: $64C Apr 17 Category: Primary tier Status: Expired
+1,360%
Peak return
+353%
Final at expiry
$0.43
Entry premium

Why this was the trade of the month

Sub-dollar premium options are where institutional conviction gets amplified. A call bought at $0.43 moves asymmetrically. If it works, the return is outsized. If it doesn't, the dollar loss is capped at the entry. This is what makes the 7-14 DTE window the DarkFlow sweet spot.

INTC had been beaten up for months. Chip sentiment was mixed. The flow said something had changed.

Why we flagged it

Institutional options flow clustered at the $62 and $64 strikes that morning. Sweeps, above-ask tape, and repeat hits across the week. The $64 strike was the clear concentration point by dollar premium.

Dark pool activity confirmed the direction with net-positive block accumulation on INTC, putting the ticker in a heavy session for institutional positioning. When flow and blocks agree on the same name on the same day, it is not a hedge.

Chart structure was supportive. Daily had been coiling under resistance for a week with RSI neutral and momentum turning up. Semi sector was leading the broader tape, and no adverse macro prints were in the 7-DTE window. The read was a breakout continuation trade with institutions positioning before the move.

The DTE trade-off

7 DTE is the short end of our typical 7-30 DTE window. Shorter DTE means higher theta risk and a tighter timeline, which is why we grade it with that cost in mind. Signals that land at 7 DTE only make the cut when multiple independent sources all agree. This was one of those.

"Short DTE is always a judgment call. The question is always whether the rest of the picture is strong enough to carry the theta cost. Here it was."

What happened

Peak and final both get logged. The dashboard shows both. The gap between peak and final is the reality of option trading, some peaks don't last. Signal quality is measured on peak, because that is what the thesis produced. What you do with your own exit is a trade-management decision that lives outside the signal itself.

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